Grammy Predictions: Lady GaGa In, Random Old People Out

Lady Gaga performs on stage at Nokia Theatre L.A. on December 22, 2009. Photo by David Livingston/Getty Images. Ah, the Grammys. The National Academy of Recording Arts and Sciences’ annual celebration of the music industry is always in a weird place—less glitzy than the Oscars, less telegenic than the Emmys, less nakedly populist than the American Music Awards. This year’s ceremony, which takes place on Jan. 31, is the culmination of NARAS’s attempt to make the Grammys an “event” again; for the second year in a row, major nominations were announced during a televised special on CBS, one that featured lots of Black Eyed Peas and even an A-Rod cameo. One thing that makes the Grammys odd is their constant sorta-behindness. The awards show airs right around Super Bowl time, but the eligibility window for this year’s ceremony closed on Aug. 30—a full month earlier than the end of the time period for last year’s show. It would seem kind of odd that music, a medium that’s different than movies and TV because of both the sheer amount of stuff coming out every week and its constant fluidity, would want to honor itself by asking viewers to please remember the fantastic records that came out four-plus months ago, that you might already be sick of. But then again, some might argue that looking toward the past is just what the Grammys do. After all, the spectre of “legacy” acts winning Grammys over more current artists looms over the awards show’s history: Jethro Tull over Metallica (Best Hard Rock/Metal Performance, 1989); Steely Dan over Eminem and Radiohead (Album Of The Year, 2001); Herbie Hancock over Amy Winehouse and Kanye West (Album Of The Year, 2007).

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